Overall Red Tropical Cyclone alert for TAUKTAE-21 in India, Pakistan from 14 May 2021 06:00 UTC to 12:00

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for TAUKTAE-21

in India, Pakistan

14 May 2021 12 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TAUKTAE-21 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Glide number:	TC-2021-000056-IND
Exposed countries	India, Pakistan
Exposed population	6.2 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	222 km/h
Maximum storm surge	1.5 m (18 May 03:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)
Landfall	between 17 May 2021 12:00 - 18 May 2021 12:00 in India

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	204 km/h	1.5 m	n.a.	2.5
Overall	222 km/h	1.5 m	n.a.	2.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

204 km/h Current Max.

Up to 4.9 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
	1	14 May 2021 06:00	204	44.6 million	4.1 million	India, Pakistan
	2	14 May 2021 12:00	204	54.3 million	4.9 million	India, Pakistan

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	14 May 2021 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	11.8 million people	11.6, 72.1
2	14 May 2021 12:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	9.5 million people	11.9, 72.2
2	15 May 2021 00:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	10.4 million people	13.1, 72.3
2	15 May 2021 12:00	Category 1	120	no people	4.5 million people	14.4, 72
2	16 May 2021 00:00	Category 1	148	no people	2.5 million people	15.8, 71.4
2	16 May 2021 12:00	Category 2	176	no people	8.3 million people	17.1, 70.6
2	17 May 2021 12:00	Category 3	204	1.9 million people	36.7 million people	19.8, 69.4
2	18 May 2021 12:00	Category 1	148	3.8 million people	36.9 million people	23.3, 68.9	India
2	19 May 2021 12:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	26.8, 70.9	India

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
India
Pakistan

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Gujarat	India
Rajasthan	India
Sind	Pakistan

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Porbandar	Gujarat	India	City	140000 people
Bhuj	Gujarat	India	City	130000 people
Jaisalmer	Rajasthan	India	City	67000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Porbandar	PBD	6	Civ.	Paved	Yes	4500
Rudra Mata	BHJ	82	Civ.	Paved	Yes	8200
Raedhanpur		61				0
Jaisalmer	JSA	270				0

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Porbandar	INPBD	India
Dwarkar	INDWA	India
Vadinar	INVAD	India
Okha	INOKH	India
Mandvi	INMDV	India
Jakhau	INJAK	India
Lakhpat		India

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

1.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 1.5m in Wadgam, India. This height is estimated for 18 May 2021 03:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (212 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 2 of 14 May 2021 12:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	18 May 2021 03:00	Wadgam	India	1.5
	18 May 2021 03:00	Asarsa	India	1.5
	18 May 2021 04:00	Tankari	India	1.5
	18 May 2021 04:00	Madhi	India	1.5
	18 May 2021 03:00	Kambhat	India	1.4
	18 May 2021 03:00	Muler	India	1.4
	18 May 2021 03:00	Kavi	India	1.4
	18 May 2021 12:00	Tuna	India	1.4
	18 May 2021 03:00	Sarod	India	1.4
	18 May 2021 03:00	Miyani	India	1.3
	18 May 2021 03:00	Lamba	India	1.3
	18 May 2021 02:00	Harinagar	India	1.3
	18 May 2021 12:00	Navinal	India	1.3
	18 May 2021 12:00	Jambura	India	1.2
	18 May 2021 01:00	Adodar	India	1.2
	18 May 2021 01:00	Porbandar	India	1.2
	18 May 2021 03:00	Bhogat	India	1.2
	18 May 2021 01:00	Ghogha	India	1.1
	18 May 2021 02:00	Dahej	India	1.1
	18 May 2021 12:00	Jhankhar	India	1.1
	18 May 2021 12:00	Salaya	India	1.1
	18 May 2021 12:00	Mundra	India	1.1
	17 May 2021 23:00	Shil	India	1.1
	18 May 2021 01:00	Olpad	India	1.0
	18 May 2021 12:00	Suthri	India	1.0
	18 May 2021 12:00	Mandvi	India	1.0
	18 May 2021 12:00	Bhadia	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 21:00	Mahuva	India	1.0
	18 May 2021 01:00	Surat	India	1.0
	18 May 2021 05:00	Okha	India	1.0
	18 May 2021 12:00	Sika	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 20:00	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 23:00	Kotada	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 22:00	Mangrol	India	0.9
	18 May 2021 05:00	Dwarka	India	0.9
	18 May 2021 00:00	Gorser	India	0.9
	18 May 2021 01:00	Ratia	India	0.9
	18 May 2021 00:00	Jalalpur	India	0.9
	18 May 2021 00:00	Mahuver	India	0.9
	18 May 2021 01:00	Bhagva	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 17:00	Rohisa	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 17:00	Dharabandar	India	0.9
	18 May 2021 00:00	Damka	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 19:00	Jafarabad	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 21:00	Chorwad	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 17:00	Delvada	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 17:00	Nawabandar	India	0.9
	18 May 2021 12:00	Aramda	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 20:00	Somnath	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 20:00	Veraval	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 20:00	Sutrapada	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 18:00	Lodhwa	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 17:00	Dangarvadi	India	0.8
	18 May 2021 07:00	Gadechi	India	0.8
	18 May 2021 12:00	Navlakhi	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 18:00	Kodinar	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 18:00	Kotra Nes	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 23:00	Daman	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 23:00	Udvada	India	0.7
	18 May 2021 12:00	Chudeswar	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 23:00	Bordi	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 23:00	Umbargam	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 22:00	Maroli	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 22:00	Gholvad	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 22:00	Tarapur	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 22:00	Malyan	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 22:00	Palghar	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 22:00	Mahim	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 22:00	Shirgaon	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 22:00	Boisar	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 22:00	Dongri	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 22:00	Vasai	India	0.5
	18 May 2021 00:00	Trombay	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 22:00	Nalasopara	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 22:00	Agashi	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 22:00	Mumbai	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 01:00	Vengurla	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 23:00	Mira Bhayandar	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 23:00	Navghar	India	0.5
	14 May 2021 12:00	Manamelkudi	India	0.4
	14 May 2021 12:00	Ammapatam	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 19:00	Malad	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 22:00	Uran	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 10:00	Bhatkal	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 19:00	Marmagao	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 19:00	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 15:00	Belekeri	India	0.4
	14 May 2021 15:00	Turavur	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 19:00	Asumumbay	India	0.4
	14 May 2021 16:00	Payyoli	India	0.4
	14 May 2021 16:00	Quilandi	India	0.4
	14 May 2021 12:00	Kottaippattanam	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 03:00	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 22:00	Bankot	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 22:00	Kelshi	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 19:00	Mandve	India	0.4
	14 May 2021 20:00	Edakkad	India	0.4
	14 May 2021 20:00	Dharmadam	India	0.4
	14 May 2021 20:00	Tellicherry	India	0.4
	14 May 2021 20:00	Mahe	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 03:00	Murud	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 00:00	Agacaim	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 03:00	Revadanda	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 01:00	Srivardhan	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 17:00	Ankola	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 16:00	Guhagar	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 16:00	Anjanwel	India	0.3
	17 May 2021 19:00	Alibag	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 20:00	Chirakkal	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 20:00	Valapattanam	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 20:00	Azhikkal	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 20:00	Cannanore	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 11:00	Adiura	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 05:00	Devgarh	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 11:00	Mirya	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 11:00	Ratnagiri	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 01:00	Terekhol	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 01:00	Chopdem	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 19:00	Majali	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 19:00	Sadashivgarh	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 19:00	Karwar	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 17:00	Gokarn	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 17:00	Kumta	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 12:00	Shirali	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 16:00	Alleppey	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 16:00	Jaigarh	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 08:00	Pural	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 05:00	Achra	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 01:00	Anjuna	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 19:00	Advota	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 19:00	Chaudi	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 16:00	Boria	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 11:00	Purnagad	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 12:00	Bainduru	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 13:00	Honavar	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 13:00	Manki	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 13:00	Mavalli	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 10:00	Chittadi	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 10:00	Kundapura	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 11:00	Purangad	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 05:00	Malvan	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 01:00	Panaji	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 01:00	Madgaon	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 12:00	Tondi	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 14:00	Kankesanturai	Sri Lanka	0.3
	14 May 2021 14:00	Idaikkadu	Sri Lanka	0.3
	14 May 2021 14:00	Point Pedro	Sri Lanka	0.3
	14 May 2021 14:00	Ampan	Sri Lanka	0.3
	14 May 2021 14:00	Kurichchikadu	Sri Lanka	0.3
	14 May 2021 14:00	Kayts	Sri Lanka	0.3
	14 May 2021 14:00	Pooneryn	Sri Lanka	0.3
	16 May 2021 08:00	Vijayadurg	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 09:00	Ambalapulai	India	0.3
	14 May 2021 15:00	Mattancheri	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 08:00	Udipi	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 07:00	Mulki	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 16:00	Talakkolattur	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 07:00	Mangaluru	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 04:00	Manjeshwaram	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 02:00	Kasaragod	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 02:00	Bekal	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 16:00	Tirurangadi	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 16:00	Tanur	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 15:00	Cochin	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 04:00	Kumbla	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 22:00	Chervattur	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 22:00	Trikkaripur	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 16:00	Kozhikode	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 16:00	Beypore	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 02:00	Nileshwar	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 20:00	Madayipara	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 20:00	Madayi	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 22:00	Kannapuram	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 16:00	Chaliyam	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 16:00	Tanniyurnagaram	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 16:00	Ponnani	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 16:00	Veliyangod	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 16:00	Kadikkad	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 16:00	Talikkulam	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 16:00	Pappinivatti	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 16:00	Badagara	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 16:00	Chaughat	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 09:00	Kayankulam	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 09:00	Karunagapalli	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 16:00	Manattala	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 16:00	Chavakkad	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 16:00	Guruvayur	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 09:00	Haripad	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 13:00	Delft Centre	Sri Lanka	0.2
	14 May 2021 10:00	Irumeni	India	0.2
	14 May 2021 10:00	Vijayapati	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 08:00	Vembar	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 09:00	Quilon	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 08:00	Thoothukkudi	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 08:00	Melmandai	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 11:00	Talaimannar	Sri Lanka	0.1
	14 May 2021 10:00	Periathullay	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 12:00	Kottapatnam	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 08:00	Cape Comorin	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 08:00	Erukkandurai	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 10:00	Kulasekharapatnam	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 09:00	Varkkallai	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 11:00	Karaikal	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 11:00	Accarapatam	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 08:00	Agastiswaram	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 11:00	Tiruchendur	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 09:00	Anjengo	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 09:00	Vilinjam	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 09:00	Puvar	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 09:00	Taingapatam	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 09:00	Kadiapattanam	India	0.1
	14 May 2021 11:00	Nagappattinam	India	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.